Performance

Signal Performance

Every signal HyperLenz fires is scored against its realized market outcome after it expires. The table below is computed from all scored signals in the window — losers included. No cherry-picking, no survivorship bias. Win rate is the fraction of resolved signals that met their type's win condition — a move in the predicted direction beyond the flat deadband for directional signals, realized spread capture for market-making and mean-reversion signals. Undetermined signals are reported separately and excluded from the rate.

Undetermined — a signal could not be scored: snapshots at fire time or at the scoring horizon were missing or stale, funding samples were insufficient, or the signal's side isn't scorable for its type. This is a data availability issue, not a directional miss. Undetermined signals are excluded from the win-rate denominator.

Experimental signal types are new or recently re-tuned; their thresholds are being calibrated from the very numbers shown here. Treat their win rates as provisional until sample size grows and the status flips to Validated.